Coastal protection becomes explicit fiscal triage

Shared claim

Public balance sheets replace universal rebuild expectations with selective coastal protection, relocation, insurance withdrawal, and risk-based triage.

Timing assessment

All three agents place the fiscal threshold in 2052–2062 but emphasize different coastal regions and instruments.

Predictions in this cluster

• Repetitive-loss coasts move from rebuild guarantees to relocation and triage — 2052–2062, ChatGPT
• South Asian coastal-protection regimes become fiscally and administratively dominant — 2052–2062, Grok
• Public catastrophe insurers become the primary property insurers in exposed regions and take their first fiscal casualty — 2052–2062, Claude